Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series

Saros Series 53

The periodicity and recurrence of lunar (and solar) eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node[1] with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and at the same time of year. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 15 centuries and contains 70 or more lunar eclipses.

Lunar eclipses of Saros 53 all occur at the Moon’s descending node and the Moon moves northward with each eclipse. The series began with a penumbral eclipse near the southern edge of the penumbra on -0993 Jun 05. The series ended with a penumbral eclipse near the northern edge of the penumbra on 0287 Jul 12. The total duration of Saros series 53 is 1280.14 years. In summary:

                      First Eclipse = -0993 Jun 05   15:41:34 TD
                       Last Eclipse =  0287 Jul 12   14:48:45 TD

                      Duration of Saros  53  =  1280.14 Years

Saros 53 is composed of 72 lunar eclipses as follows:

Lunar Eclipses of Saros 53
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 72100.0%
PenumbralN 18 25.0%
PartialP 43 59.7%
TotalT 11 15.3%

The 72 lunar eclipses in Saros 53 occur in the order of 10N 20P 11T 23P 8N which corresponds to:

                                    10  Penumbral
                                    20  Partial
                                    11  Total
                                    23  Partial
                                     8  Penumbral

The longest and shortest eclipses of Saros 53 are as follows.

            Longest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:   -0380 Jun 06      Duration = 01h46m11s
           Shortest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:   -0272 Aug 10      Duration = 00h32m32s

            Longest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0470 Apr 14      Duration = 03h28m46s
           Shortest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    0143 Apr 17      Duration = 00h44m09s

          Longest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:   -0831 Sep 10      Duration = 04h44m00s
         Shortest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:    0287 Jul 12      Duration = 00h39m23s

The largest and smallest magnitude partial eclipses of Saros 53 are:

            Largest Partial Lunar Eclipse:   -0470 Apr 14      Magnitude = 0.9716
           Smallest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    0143 Apr 17      Magnitude = 0.0380

Local circumstances at greatest eclipse[2] for every lunar eclipse of Saros 53 are presented in the following catalog. For eclipses occurring between the years -1999 to +3000 (2000 BCE to 3000 CE), the sequence number in the first column links to a eclipse geometry diagram and a map from Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000. A detailed key and additional information about the catalog can be found at: Key to Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series.



Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 53

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 01  -34  -0993 Jun 05  15:41:34  25181 -37014   Nb  t-  -1.5151  0.0869 -0.9312   85.8    -      -  
 02  -33  -0975 Jun 15  22:28:08  24859 -36791   N   t-  -1.4416  0.2242 -0.7984  136.7    -      -  
 03  -32  -0957 Jun 27  05:17:36  24539 -36568   N   t-  -1.3708  0.3565 -0.6711  171.1    -      -  
 04  -31  -0939 Jul 07  12:08:28  24221 -36345   N   t-  -1.3019  0.4856 -0.5473  198.2    -      -  
 05  -30  -0921 Jul 18  19:04:05  23905 -36122   N   t-  -1.2373  0.6070 -0.4316  220.0    -      -  
 06  -29  -0903 Jul 29  02:03:46  23592 -35899   N   t-  -1.1765  0.7216 -0.3230  238.3    -      -  
 07  -28  -0885 Aug 09  09:11:02  23280 -35676   N   t-  -1.1223  0.8242 -0.2266  253.2    -      -  
 08  -27  -0867 Aug 19  16:24:54  22970 -35453   N   t-  -1.0743  0.9155 -0.1417  265.5    -      -  
 09  -26  -0849 Aug 30  23:45:28  22662 -35230   N   t-  -1.0324  0.9956 -0.0678  275.8    -      -  
 10  -25  -0831 Sep 10  07:14:32  22357 -35007   Nx  t-  -0.9979  1.0620 -0.0075  284.0    -      -  

 11  -24  -0813 Sep 21  14:51:15  22053 -34784   P   t-  -0.9701  1.1158  0.0405  290.6   48.6    -  
 12  -23  -0795 Oct 01  22:36:08  21752 -34561   P   t-  -0.9495  1.1564  0.0757  295.6   66.2    -  
 13  -22  -0777 Oct 13  06:26:36  21453 -34338   P   t-  -0.9338  1.1877  0.1020  299.5   76.8    -  
 14  -21  -0759 Oct 23  14:24:26  21155 -34115   P   t-  -0.9246  1.2068  0.1168  302.2   82.2    -  
 15  -20  -0741 Nov 03  22:26:03  20860 -33892   P   t-  -0.9186  1.2196  0.1260  304.2   85.4    -  
 16  -19  -0723 Nov 14  06:31:01  20567 -33669   P   t-  -0.9157  1.2264  0.1300  305.6   86.8    -  
 17  -18  -0705 Nov 25  14:36:42  20276 -33446   P   t-  -0.9135  1.2314  0.1329  306.7   87.9    -  
 18  -17  -0687 Dec 05  22:42:47  19987 -33223   P   t-  -0.9118  1.2352  0.1356  307.6   88.8    -  
 19  -16  -0669 Dec 17  06:45:36  19700 -33000   P   t-  -0.9076  1.2430  0.1429  308.7   91.2    -  
 20  -15  -0651 Dec 27  14:44:25  19415 -32777   P   t-  -0.9005  1.2560  0.1563  310.2   95.3    -  

 21  -14  -0632 Jan 07  22:37:18  19133 -32554   P   t-  -0.8885  1.2773  0.1787  312.3  101.7    -  
 22  -13  -0614 Jan 18  06:23:46  18852 -32331   P   t-  -0.8714  1.3078  0.2109  315.1  110.1    -  
 23  -12  -0596 Jan 29  14:00:06  18573 -32108   P   t-  -0.8463  1.3527  0.2581  318.9  121.0    -  
 24  -11  -0578 Feb 08  21:28:32  18297 -31885   P   t-  -0.8150  1.4089  0.3169  323.4  133.0    -  
 25  -10  -0560 Feb 20  04:46:04  18022 -31662   P   t-  -0.7748  1.4812  0.3922  328.8  146.4    -  
 26  -09  -0542 Mar 02  11:55:56  17750 -31439   P   t-  -0.7281  1.5652  0.4794  334.5  159.7    -  
 27  -08  -0524 Mar 12  18:53:29  17479 -31216   P   t-  -0.6714  1.6676  0.5851  340.8  173.4    -  
 28  -07  -0506 Mar 24  01:44:46  17211 -30993   P   t-  -0.6093  1.7799  0.7007  347.0  186.2    -  
 29  -06  -0488 Apr 03  08:25:26  16907 -30770   P   t-  -0.5385  1.9082  0.8321  353.1  198.3    -  
 30  -05  -0470 Apr 14  15:01:14  16593 -30547   P   t-  -0.4633  2.0447  0.9716  358.5  208.8    -  

 31  -04  -0452 Apr 24  21:29:03  16289 -30324   T   t-  -0.3810  2.1943  1.1239  363.4  217.9   56.2
 32  -03  -0434 May 06  03:54:57  15992 -30101   T   tp  -0.2967  2.3478  1.2799  367.2  225.1   80.0
 33  -02  -0416 May 16  10:16:37  15703 -29878   T-  pp  -0.2087  2.5082  1.4423  370.0  230.4   94.4
 34  -01  -0398 May 27  16:38:05  15422 -29655   T-  pp  -0.1199  2.6702  1.6061  371.5  233.7  102.7
 35   00  -0380 Jun 06  22:59:28  15148 -29432   T-  pp  -0.0308  2.8332  1.7703  371.8  235.0  106.2
 36   01  -0362 Jun 18  05:23:59  14880 -29209   T+  pp   0.0561  2.7863  1.7243  371.0  234.4  105.5
 37   02  -0344 Jun 28  11:51:56  14619 -28986   T+  pp   0.1408  2.6305  1.5691  369.0  232.0  100.8
 38   03  -0326 Jul 09  18:24:59  14364 -28763   T+  pp   0.2218  2.4819  1.4207  366.1  228.1   92.3
 39   04  -0308 Jul 20  01:05:15  14114 -28540   T   pp   0.2971  2.3438  1.2823  362.4  222.8   79.5
 40   05  -0290 Jul 31  07:53:26  13870 -28317   T   -t   0.3662  2.2172  1.1553  358.2  216.6   61.5


Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 53

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 41   06  -0272 Aug 10  14:50:35  13631 -28094   T   -t   0.4286  2.1030  1.0405  353.6  209.8   32.5
 42   07  -0254 Aug 21  21:57:32  13397 -27871   P   -t   0.4835  2.0027  0.9394  349.0  202.6    -  
 43   08  -0236 Sep 01  05:15:24  13168 -27648   P   -t   0.5303  1.9173  0.8532  344.6  195.7    -  
 44   09  -0218 Sep 12  12:43:55  12943 -27425   P   -t   0.5687  1.8471  0.7823  340.5  189.2    -  
 45   10  -0200 Sep 22  20:21:52  12723 -27202   P   -t   0.6002  1.7896  0.7242  336.7  183.4    -  
 46   11  -0182 Oct 04  04:10:42  12507 -26979   P   -t   0.6235  1.7470  0.6813  333.6  178.7    -  
 47   12  -0164 Oct 14  12:08:40  12296 -26756   P   -t   0.6404  1.7160  0.6504  331.0  175.1    -  
 48   13  -0146 Oct 25  20:15:14  12088 -26533   P   -t   0.6508  1.6966  0.6315  329.0  172.6    -  
 49   14  -0128 Nov 05  04:27:48  11884 -26310   P   -t   0.6572  1.6843  0.6203  327.3  170.9    -  
 50   15  -0110 Nov 16  12:46:28  11683 -26087   P   -t   0.6594  1.6795  0.6172  326.0  170.1    -  

 51   16  -0092 Nov 26  21:08:40  11486 -25864   P   -h   0.6596  1.6779  0.6180  324.8  169.7    -  
 52   17  -0074 Dec 08  05:32:02  11292 -25641   P   -h   0.6595  1.6765  0.6196  323.5  169.4    -  
 53   18  -0056 Dec 18  13:55:43  11101 -25418   P   -h   0.6600  1.6737  0.6205  322.1  169.1    -  
 54   19  -0038 Dec 29  22:17:13  10913 -25195   P   -h   0.6631  1.6658  0.6170  320.3  168.2    -  
 55   20  -0019 Jan 09  06:35:52  10727 -24972   P   -h   0.6692  1.6521  0.6083  318.2  166.8    -  
 56   21  -0001 Jan 20  14:48:33  10544 -24749   P   -h   0.6811  1.6275  0.5893  315.4  164.2    -  
 57   22   0017 Jan 30  22:56:51  10363 -24526   P   -h   0.6974  1.5946  0.5622  312.0  160.6    -  
 58   23   0035 Feb 11  06:57:48  10184 -24303   P   -h   0.7207  1.5488  0.5227  307.7  155.4    -  
 59   24   0053 Feb 21  14:51:48  10006 -24080   P   -h   0.7505  1.4908  0.4711  302.5  148.3    -  
 60   25   0071 Mar 04  22:38:14   9831 -23857   P   -h   0.7872  1.4201  0.4069  296.3  138.7    -  

 61   26   0089 Mar 15  06:18:11   9656 -23634   P   -h   0.8302  1.3379  0.3312  288.9  126.2    -  
 62   27   0107 Mar 26  13:51:50   9483 -23411   P   -h   0.8794  1.2445  0.2441  280.3  109.4    -  
 63   28   0125 Apr 05  21:18:32   9311 -23188   P   -h   0.9350  1.1394  0.1450  270.0   85.2    -  
 64   29   0143 Apr 17  04:40:57   9139 -22965   P   -h   0.9949  1.0267  0.0380  258.3   44.1    -  
 65   30   0161 Apr 27  11:58:38   8968 -22742   N   -h   1.0592  0.9060 -0.0774  244.7    -      -  
 66   31   0179 May 08  19:13:37   8797 -22519   N   -h   1.1264  0.7803 -0.1984  229.0    -      -  
 67   32   0197 May 19  02:26:09   8626 -22296   N   -a   1.1963  0.6500 -0.3245  210.9    -      -  
 68   33   0215 May 30  09:38:48   8455 -22073   N   -a   1.2666  0.5192 -0.4517  190.2    -      -  
 69   34   0233 Jun 09  16:52:15   8283 -21850   N   -a   1.3365  0.3894 -0.5785  166.2    -      -  
 70   35   0251 Jun 21  00:07:12   8111 -21627   N   -a   1.4057  0.2612 -0.7044  137.3    -      -  

 71   36   0269 Jul 01  07:26:01   7939 -21404   N   -a   1.4722  0.1383 -0.8256  100.7    -      -  
 72   37   0287 Jul 12  14:48:45   7766 -21181   Ne  -a   1.5359  0.0208 -0.9419   39.4    -      -  


Footnotes

[1] The Moon's orbit is inclined about 5 degrees to Earth's orbit around the Sun. The points where the lunar orbit intersects the plane of Earth's orbit are known as the nodes. The Moon moves from south to north of Earth's orbit at the ascending node, and from north to south at the descending node.

[2]Greatest eclipse is defined as the instant when Moon passes closest to the axis of Earth's shadow.


Calendar

The Gregorian calendar is used for all dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates. The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions ). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..


Predictions

The coordinates of the Sun used in these predictions are based on the VSOP87 theory [Bretagnon and Francou, 1988]. The Moon's coordinates are based on the ELP-2000/82 theory [Chapront-Touze and Chapront, 1983]. For more information, see: Solar and Lunar Ephemerides. The revised value used for the Moon's secular acceleration is n-dot = -25.858 arc-sec/cy*cy, as deduced from the Apollo lunar laser ranging experiment (Chapront, Chapront-Touze, and Francou, 2002).

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -1999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.


Acknowledgments

The Besselian elements used in the predictions were kindly provided by Jean Meeus. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy. Some of the information presented on this web site is based on data originally published in Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Five Millennium Catalog of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000.

Permission is freely granted to reproduce this data when accompanied by an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak and Jean Meeus (NASA's GSFC)"


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2009 Sep 29