Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series

Saros Series 98

The periodicity and recurrence of lunar (and solar) eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node[1] with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and at the same time of year. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 15 centuries and contains 70 or more lunar eclipses.

Lunar eclipses of Saros 98 all occur at the Moon’s ascending node and the Moon moves southward with each eclipse. The series began with a penumbral eclipse near the northern edge of the penumbra on 0436 Feb 18. The series ended with a penumbral eclipse near the southern edge of the penumbra on 1752 Apr 28. The total duration of Saros series 98 is 1316.20 years. In summary:

                      First Eclipse =  0436 Feb 18   12:09:44 TD
                       Last Eclipse =  1752 Apr 28   11:35:10 TD

                      Duration of Saros  98  =  1316.20 Years

Saros 98 is composed of 74 lunar eclipses as follows:

Lunar Eclipses of Saros 98
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 74100.0%
PenumbralN 32 43.2%
PartialP 17 23.0%
TotalT 25 33.8%

The 74 lunar eclipses in Saros 98 occur in the order of 10N 10P 25T 7P 22N which corresponds to:

                                    10  Penumbral
                                    10  Partial
                                    25  Total
                                     7  Partial
                                    22  Penumbral

The longest and shortest eclipses of Saros 98 are as follows.

            Longest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:    1139 Apr 16      Duration = 01h45m00s
           Shortest  Total  Lunar Eclipse:    0796 Sep 21      Duration = 00h38m23s

            Longest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    1247 Jun 19      Duration = 03h26m29s
           Shortest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    0616 Jun 05      Duration = 00h23m11s

          Longest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:    1373 Sep 02      Duration = 04h49m27s
         Shortest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse:    0436 Feb 18      Duration = 00h20m04s

The largest and smallest magnitude partial eclipses of Saros 98 are:

            Largest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    0778 Sep 11      Magnitude = 0.9993
           Smallest Partial Lunar Eclipse:    0616 Jun 05      Magnitude = 0.0109

Local circumstances at greatest eclipse[2] for every lunar eclipse of Saros 98 are presented in the following catalog. For eclipses occurring between the years -1999 to +3000 (2000 BCE to 3000 CE), the sequence number in the first column links to a eclipse geometry diagram and a map from Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000. A detailed key and additional information about the catalog can be found at: Key to Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series.



Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 98

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 01  -39   0436 Feb 18  12:09:44   6310 -19343   Nb  a-   1.5443  0.0056 -0.9573   20.1    -      -  
 02  -38   0454 Feb 28  20:27:21   6132 -19120   N   a-   1.5172  0.0544 -0.9067   62.3    -      -  
 03  -37   0472 Mar 11  04:34:10   5955 -18897   N   a-   1.4822  0.1178 -0.8415   91.3    -      -  
 04  -36   0490 Mar 22  12:34:42   5778 -18674   N   a-   1.4425  0.1898 -0.7680  115.3    -      -  
 05  -35   0508 Apr 01  20:25:03   5601 -18451   N   a-   1.3949  0.2765 -0.6802  138.3    -      -  
 06  -34   0526 Apr 13  04:09:35   5425 -18228   N   a-   1.3433  0.3709 -0.5850  159.0    -      -  
 07  -33   0544 Apr 23  11:45:05   5249 -18005   N   a-   1.2848  0.4781 -0.4775  179.0    -      -  
 08  -32   0562 May 04  19:16:30   5075 -17782   N   a-   1.2233  0.5911 -0.3648  197.3    -      -  
 09  -31   0580 May 15  02:41:40   4902 -17559   N   a-   1.1570  0.7131 -0.2437  214.6    -      -  
 10  -30   0598 May 26  10:03:29   4731 -17336   N   a-   1.0884  0.8398 -0.1184  230.5    -      -  

 11  -29   0616 Jun 05  17:22:01   4560 -17113   P   a-   1.0173  0.9713  0.0109  245.2   23.2    -  
 12  -28   0634 Jun 17  00:39:45   4392 -16890   P   a-   0.9459  1.1037  0.1406  258.6   82.0    -  
 13  -27   0652 Jun 27  07:56:56   4225 -16667   P   a-   0.8746  1.2363  0.2698  270.6  111.9    -  
 14  -26   0670 Jul 08  15:14:59   4059 -16444   P   a-   0.8044  1.3670  0.3966  281.4  133.5    -  
 15  -25   0688 Jul 18  22:35:37   3896 -16221   P   a-   0.7369  1.4932  0.5183  290.9  150.2    -  
 16  -24   0706 Jul 30  05:59:52   3734 -15998   P   a-   0.6726  1.6136  0.6336  299.3  163.5    -  
 17  -23   0724 Aug 09  13:28:17   3575 -15775   P   a-   0.6127  1.7263  0.7409  306.7  174.2    -  
 18  -22   0742 Aug 20  21:02:12   3418 -15552   P   a-   0.5580  1.8296  0.8384  313.0  182.8    -  
 19  -21   0760 Aug 31  04:42:27   3264 -15329   P   a-   0.5094  1.9218  0.9246  318.4  189.6    -  
 20  -20   0778 Sep 11  12:29:30   3113 -15106   P   a-   0.4670  2.0028  0.9993  323.1  195.0    -  

 21  -19   0796 Sep 21  20:22:35   2965 -14883   T   p-   0.4303  2.0732  1.0635  327.1  199.3   38.4
 22  -18   0814 Oct 03  04:23:30   2820 -14660   T   p-   0.4009  2.1303  1.1144  330.5  202.6   50.8
 23  -17   0832 Oct 13  12:31:07   2679 -14437   T   p-   0.3781  2.1753  1.1533  333.5  205.1   58.2
 24  -16   0850 Oct 24  20:45:26   2541 -14214   T   p-   0.3612  2.2091  1.1815  336.0  207.0   62.9
 25  -15   0868 Nov 04  05:04:36   2408 -13991   T   p-   0.3491  2.2339  1.2010  338.2  208.4   65.9
 26  -14   0886 Nov 15  13:28:41   2278 -13768   T   p-   0.3417  2.2499  1.2123  340.0  209.4   67.6
 27  -13   0904 Nov 25  21:55:42   2152 -13545   T   p-   0.3375  2.2599  1.2180  341.7  210.2   68.5
 28  -12   0922 Dec 07  06:23:41   2031 -13322   T   p-   0.3348  2.2664  1.2210  343.2  210.9   69.0
 29  -11   0940 Dec 17  14:51:55   1914 -13099   T   p-   0.3331  2.2712  1.2227  344.6  211.6   69.4
 30  -10   0958 Dec 28  23:17:44   1801 -12876   T   p-   0.3302  2.2777  1.2269  346.0  212.3   70.1

 31  -09   0977 Jan 08  07:40:11   1693 -12653   T   p-   0.3252  2.2877  1.2352  347.5  213.3   71.4
 32  -08   0995 Jan 19  15:56:11   1590 -12430   T   p-   0.3157  2.3058  1.2522  349.0  214.6   73.7
 33  -07   1013 Jan 30  00:06:26   1491 -12207   T   p-   0.3023  2.3306  1.2763  350.7  216.2   76.7
 34  -06   1031 Feb 10  08:07:50   1397 -11984   T   p-   0.2828  2.3666  1.3120  352.6  218.2   80.6
 35  -05   1049 Feb 20  16:00:09   1308 -11761   T+  pp   0.2564  2.4150  1.3604  354.7  220.5   85.3
 36  -04   1067 Mar 03  23:42:08   1223 -11538   T+  pp   0.2223  2.4774  1.4232  356.9  223.0   90.5
 37  -03   1085 Mar 14  07:14:33   1142 -11315   T+  pp   0.1811  2.5528  1.4988  359.1  225.6   95.5
 38  -02   1103 Mar 25  14:36:57   1066 -11092   T+  pp   0.1325  2.6418  1.5882  361.1  228.1   99.9
 39  -01   1121 Apr 04  21:48:29    994 -10869   T+  pp   0.0758  2.7458  1.6924  363.0  230.1  103.3
 40   00   1139 Apr 16  04:51:10    927 -10646   T+  pp   0.0124  2.8620  1.8088  364.3  231.3  105.0


Catalog of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 98

                          TD of                                                          Phase
Seq. Rel.    Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.               Pen.    Um.    ---- Durations ---- 
Num. Num.      Date      Eclipse     ΔT    Num  Type QSE  Gamma    Mag.    Mag.    Pen.   Par.  Total
                                      s                                              m      m      m

 41   01   1157 Apr 26  11:44:52    864 -10423   T-  pp  -0.0579  2.7787  1.7253  365.1  231.6  104.4
 42   02   1175 May 07  18:31:15    804 -10200   T-  pp  -0.1334  2.6403  1.5865  364.9  230.4  100.9
 43   03   1193 May 18  01:10:42    749  -9977   T-  pp  -0.2140  2.4929  1.4382  363.8  227.6   93.2
 44   04   1211 May 29  07:45:32    697  -9754   T   -t  -0.2977  2.3398  1.2840  361.5  222.9   79.8
 45   05   1229 Jun 08  14:17:10    648  -9531   T   -t  -0.3836  2.1831  1.1256  358.0  216.0   56.1
 46   06   1247 Jun 19  20:45:31    602  -9308   P   -t  -0.4714  2.0230  0.9636  353.1  206.5    -  
 47   07   1265 Jun 30  03:14:06    560  -9085   P   -t  -0.5583  1.8647  0.8028  347.0  194.4    -  
 48   08   1283 Jul 11  09:42:53    520  -8862   P   -t  -0.6444  1.7081  0.6435  339.5  179.1    -  
 49   09   1301 Jul 21  16:15:37    483  -8639   P   -t  -0.7266  1.5588  0.4911  330.9  160.6    -  
 50   10   1319 Aug 01  22:50:32    449  -8416   P   -t  -0.8064  1.4142  0.3431  321.2  137.5    -  

 51   11   1337 Aug 12  05:32:46    416  -8193   P   -t  -0.8797  1.2814  0.2066  311.0  109.0    -  
 52   12   1355 Aug 23  12:20:17    386  -7970   P   -t  -0.9483  1.1575  0.0788  300.2   68.6    -  
 53   13   1373 Sep 02  19:16:42    357  -7747   Nx  -t  -1.0091  1.0478 -0.0346  289.5    -      -  
 54   14   1391 Sep 14  02:19:56    330  -7524   N   -t  -1.0641  0.9489 -0.1374  278.7    -      -  
 55   15   1409 Sep 24  09:33:48    304  -7301   N   -t  -1.1102  0.8662 -0.2238  268.9    -      -  
 56   16   1427 Oct 05  16:55:33    280  -7078   N   -t  -1.1500  0.7951 -0.2985  259.7    -      -  
 57   17   1445 Oct 16  00:26:27    257  -6855   N   -t  -1.1823  0.7374 -0.3593  251.8    -      -  
 58   18   1463 Oct 27  08:05:16    235  -6632   N   -t  -1.2081  0.6913 -0.4081  245.0    -      -  
 59   19   1481 Nov 06  15:52:48    215  -6409   N   -t  -1.2265  0.6587 -0.4429  240.0    -      -  
 60   20   1499 Nov 17  23:45:52    196  -6186   N   -t  -1.2408  0.6331 -0.4700  235.8    -      -  

 61   21   1517 Nov 28  07:44:09    178  -5963   N   -t  -1.2509  0.6150 -0.4889  232.8    -      -  
 62   22   1535 Dec 09  15:45:20    162  -5740   N   -t  -1.2588  0.6006 -0.5034  230.2    -      -  
 63   23   1553 Dec 19  23:49:19    147  -5517   N   -t  -1.2643  0.5901 -0.5132  228.2    -      -  
 64   24   1571 Dec 31  07:51:32    134  -5294   N   -t  -1.2712  0.5767 -0.5249  225.6    -      -  
 65   25   1590 Jan 20  15:53:21    123  -5071   N   -t  -1.2783  0.5624 -0.5370  222.7    -      -  
 66   26   1608 Jan 31  23:50:22    110  -4848   N   -t  -1.2894  0.5405 -0.5558  218.3    -      -  
 67   27   1626 Feb 11  07:43:56     85  -4625   N   -t  -1.3035  0.5128 -0.5797  212.7    -      -  
 68   28   1644 Feb 22  15:29:27     58  -4402   N   -t  -1.3240  0.4730 -0.6153  204.5    -      -  
 69   29   1662 Mar 04  23:10:09     32  -4179   N   -t  -1.3487  0.4254 -0.6581  194.3    -      -  
 70   30   1680 Mar 15  06:41:52     14  -3956   N   -t  -1.3804  0.3645 -0.7139  180.3    -      -  

 71   31   1698 Mar 26  14:06:38      8  -3733   N   -t  -1.4182  0.2924 -0.7806  162.0    -      -  
 72   32   1716 Apr 06  21:22:33     10  -3510   N   -t  -1.4634  0.2068 -0.8606  136.9    -      -  
 73   33   1734 Apr 18  04:32:27     11  -3287   N   -t  -1.5136  0.1117 -0.9501  101.1    -      -  
 74   34   1752 Apr 28  11:35:10     13  -3064   Ne  -t  -1.5698  0.0059 -1.0505   23.4    -      -  


Footnotes

[1] The Moon's orbit is inclined about 5 degrees to Earth's orbit around the Sun. The points where the lunar orbit intersects the plane of Earth's orbit are known as the nodes. The Moon moves from south to north of Earth's orbit at the ascending node, and from north to south at the descending node.

[2]Greatest eclipse is defined as the instant when Moon passes closest to the axis of Earth's shadow.


Calendar

The Gregorian calendar is used for all dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates. The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions ). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..


Predictions

The coordinates of the Sun used in these predictions are based on the VSOP87 theory [Bretagnon and Francou, 1988]. The Moon's coordinates are based on the ELP-2000/82 theory [Chapront-Touze and Chapront, 1983]. For more information, see: Solar and Lunar Ephemerides. The revised value used for the Moon's secular acceleration is n-dot = -25.858 arc-sec/cy*cy, as deduced from the Apollo lunar laser ranging experiment (Chapront, Chapront-Touze, and Francou, 2002).

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -1999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.


Acknowledgments

The Besselian elements used in the predictions were kindly provided by Jean Meeus. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy. Some of the information presented on this web site is based on data originally published in Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Five Millennium Catalog of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000.

Permission is freely granted to reproduce this data when accompanied by an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak and Jean Meeus (NASA's GSFC)"


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2009 Sep 29