Saros Series Catalog of Solar Eclipses

Saros Series 154

Introduction

The periodicity and recurrence of solar eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node[1] with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and at the same time of year. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 13 centuries and contains 70 or more eclipses. Every saros series begins with a number of partial eclipses near one of Earth's polar regions. The series will then produce several dozen central[2] eclipses before ending with a group of partial eclipses near the opposite pole. For more information, see Periodicity of Solar Eclipses.


Statistics for Solar Eclipses of Saros 154

Solar eclipses of Saros 154 all occur at the Moon’s descending node and the Moon moves northward with each eclipse. The series began with a partial eclipse in the southern hemisphere on 1917 Jul 19. The series will end with a partial eclipse in the northern hemisphere on 3179 Aug 25. The total duration of Saros series 154 is 1262.11 years. In summary:

                      First Eclipse =   1917 Jul 19   02:42:42 TD
                       Last Eclipse =   3179 Aug 25   03:02:28 TD

                      Duration of Saros 154  =  1262.11 Years

Saros 154 is composed of 71 solar eclipses as follows:

Solar Eclipses of Saros 154
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 71100.0%
PartialP 15 21.1%
AnnularA 17 23.9%
TotalT 36 50.7%
Hybrid[3]H 3 4.2%

Umbral eclipses (annular, total and hybrid) can be further classified as either: 1) Central (two limits), 2) Central (one limit) or 3) Non-Central (one limit). The statistical distribution of these classes in Saros series 154 appears in the following table.

Umbral Eclipses of Saros 154
Classification Number Percent
All Umbral Eclipses 56100.0%
Central (two limits) 55 98.2%
Central (one limit) 0 0.0%
Non-Central (one limit) 1 1.8%

The following string illustrates the sequence of the 71 eclipses in Saros 154: 7P 17A 3H 36T 8P

The longest and shortest central eclipses of Saros 154 as well as largest and smallest partial eclipses are listed in the below.

Extreme Durations and Magnitudes of Solar Eclipses of Saros 154
Extrema Type Date Duration Magnitude
Longest Annular Solar Eclipse 2061 Oct 1303m41s -
Shortest Annular Solar Eclipse 2332 Mar 2700m30s -
Longest Total Solar Eclipse 2530 Jul 2504m50s -
Shortest Total Solar Eclipse 2404 May 0902m14s -
Longest Hybrid Solar Eclipse 2386 Apr 2901m30s -
Shortest Hybrid Solar Eclipse 2350 Apr 0700m06s -
Largest Partial Solar Eclipse 3053 Jun 08 - 0.99218
Smallest Partial Solar Eclipse 3179 Aug 25 - 0.01731

Description of the Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 154

The catalog below lists concise details and local circumstances at greatest eclipse[5] for every solar eclipse in Saros 154. A description or explanation of each parameter listed in the catalog can be found in Key to Catalog of Solar Eclipse Saros Series.

Several fields in the catalog link to web pages or files containing additional information for each eclipse (for the years -1999 through +3000). The following gives a brief explanation of each link.


For an animation showing how the eclipse path changes with each member of the series, see Animation of Saros 154.



Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 154

                         TD of
 Seq. Rel.   Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.           Ecl.                Sun Path  Central
 Num. Num.     Date      Eclipse     ΔT   Num.  Type  Gamma    Mag.    Lat   Long  Alt Width   Dur.
                                      s                                 °      °     °    km

09322 -34  1917 Jul 19  02:42:42     20  -1020   Pb  -1.5101  0.0863  63.7S 101.8E   0             
09365 -33  1935 Jul 30  09:16:28     24   -797   P   -1.4259  0.2315  62.9S   5.9W   0             
09406 -32  1953 Aug 09  15:55:03     30   -574   P   -1.3440  0.3729  62.2S 114.7W   0             
09446 -31  1971 Aug 20  22:39:31     42   -351   P   -1.2659  0.5080  61.7S 135.4E   0             
09485 -30  1989 Aug 31  05:31:47     57   -128   P   -1.1928  0.6344  61.3S  23.6E   0             
09524 -29  2007 Sep 11  12:32:24     66     95   P   -1.1255  0.7507  61.0S  90.2W   0             
09564 -28  2025 Sep 21  19:43:04     75    318   P   -1.0651  0.8550  60.9S 153.5E   0             
09604 -27  2043 Oct 03  03:01:49     88    541   A-  -1.0102  0.9497  61.0S  35.3E   0             
09645 -26  2061 Oct 13  10:32:10    117    764   A   -0.9639  0.9469  62.1S  54.4W  15  743  03m41s
09686 -25  2079 Oct 24  18:11:21    156    987   A   -0.9243  0.9484  63.4S 160.6W  22  495  03m39s

09727 -24  2097 Nov 04  02:01:25    197   1210   A   -0.8926  0.9494  65.8S  86.8E  26  411  03m36s
09768 -23  2115 Nov 16  09:58:55    241   1433   A   -0.8664  0.9503  68.7S  27.8W  30  365  03m32s
09808 -22  2133 Nov 26  18:05:55    286   1656   A   -0.8473  0.9513  72.0S 143.5W  32  337  03m27s
09850 -21  2151 Dec 08  02:18:31    332   1879   A   -0.8320  0.9526  75.1S 103.1E  33  314  03m22s
09892 -20  2169 Dec 18  10:37:07    371   2102   A   -0.8213  0.9544  77.3S   6.1W  34  295  03m15s
09936 -19  2187 Dec 29  18:59:03    413   2325   A   -0.8126  0.9565  77.7S 111.2W  35  274  03m07s
09981 -18  2206 Jan 10  03:24:08    456   2548   A   -0.8060  0.9592  75.9S 140.5E  36  252  02m57s
10025 -17  2224 Jan 21  11:48:53    502   2771   A   -0.7984  0.9626  72.4S  25.2E  37  227  02m46s
10069 -16  2242 Jan 31  20:12:58    549   2994   A   -0.7894  0.9665  67.9S  95.8W  38  197  02m31s
10114 -15  2260 Feb 12  04:34:24    599   3217   A   -0.7776  0.9711  62.7S 140.2E  39  165  02m15s

10159 -14  2278 Feb 22  12:52:48    650   3440   A   -0.7628  0.9762  57.1S  14.8E  40  131  01m54s
10205 -13  2296 Mar 04  21:04:46    704   3663   A   -0.7418  0.9819  51.1S 110.3W  42   95  01m31s
10250 -12  2314 Mar 17  05:11:54    760   3886   A   -0.7160  0.9880  44.9S 125.1E  44   60  01m03s
10295 -11  2332 Mar 27  13:11:34    818   4109   A   -0.6831  0.9944  38.3S   2.0E  47   26  00m30s
10341 -10  2350 Apr 07  21:06:03    878   4332   H   -0.6452  1.0011  31.7S 119.7W  50    5  00m06s
10386 -09  2368 Apr 18  04:51:38    940   4555   H   -0.5992  1.0079  24.8S 120.8E  53   34  00m47s
10430 -08  2386 Apr 29  12:32:25   1004   4778   H2  -0.5483  1.0146  18.1S   2.9E  57   60  01m30s
10474 -07  2404 May 09  20:05:45   1070   5001   T   -0.4902  1.0212  11.4S 112.8W  61   83  02m14s
10517 -06  2422 May 21  03:34:51   1138   5224   T   -0.4278  1.0275   5.0S 133.1E  65  103  02m56s
10560 -05  2440 May 31  10:58:15   1209   5447   T   -0.3598  1.0334   1.0N  21.0E  69  121  03m33s

10603 -04  2458 Jun 11  18:19:40   1281   5670   T   -0.2891  1.0388   6.3N  90.0W  73  136  04m04s
10646 -03  2476 Jun 22  01:38:29   1356   5893   T   -0.2153  1.0435  11.1N 160.4E  78  149  04m25s
10688 -02  2494 Jul 03  08:56:16   1432   6116   T   -0.1397  1.0477  15.0N  51.7E  82  160  04m40s
10730 -01  2512 Jul 14  16:14:11   1511   6339   T   -0.0634  1.0510  18.1N  56.5W  86  170  04m47s
10770  00  2530 Jul 25  23:33:49   1591   6562   T    0.0124  1.0538  20.2N 164.6W  89  178  04m50s
10810  01  2548 Aug 05  06:56:36   1674   6785   Tm   0.0862  1.0556  21.4N  86.6E  85  184  04m49s
10850  02  2566 Aug 16  14:22:25   1759   7008   T    0.1581  1.0569  21.8N  22.8W  81  190  04m46s
10890  03  2584 Aug 26  21:54:18   1846   7231   T    0.2258  1.0573  21.4N 134.0W  77  193  04m43s
10931  04  2602 Sep 08  05:31:32   1935   7454   T    0.2895  1.0572  20.6N 113.3E  73  196  04m39s
10972  05  2620 Sep 18  13:15:47   2026   7677   T    0.3476  1.0565  19.4N   1.6W  70  198  04m35s


Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 154

                         TD of
 Seq. Rel.   Calendar   Greatest          Luna  Ecl.           Ecl.                Sun Path  Central
 Num. Num.     Date      Eclipse     ΔT   Num.  Type  Gamma    Mag.    Lat   Long  Alt Width   Dur.
                                      s                                 °      °     °    km

11013  06  2638 Sep 29  21:06:37   2119   7900   T    0.4007  1.0554  18.1N 118.4W  66  198  04m31s
11053  07  2656 Oct 10  05:06:01   2214   8123   T    0.4468  1.0539  16.7N 122.2E  63  197  04m28s
11094  08  2674 Oct 21  13:13:05   2312   8346   T    0.4869  1.0522  15.4N   0.5E  61  196  04m25s
11136  09  2692 Oct 31  21:27:40   2411   8569   T    0.5212  1.0503  14.4N 123.3W  58  193  04m23s
11178  10  2710 Nov 13  05:50:18   2512   8792   T    0.5489  1.0486  13.6N 110.5E  57  191  04m20s
11220  11  2728 Nov 23  14:20:46   2616   9015   T    0.5701  1.0468  13.1N  17.8W  55  188  04m17s
11263  12  2746 Dec 04  22:57:39   2721   9238   T    0.5864  1.0454  13.0N 147.9W  54  186  04m15s
11308  13  2764 Dec 15  07:40:02   2829   9461   T    0.5984  1.0443  13.3N  80.4E  53  184  04m12s
11352  14  2782 Dec 26  16:26:47   2939   9684   T    0.6070  1.0435  14.1N  52.4W  53  183  04m10s
11397  15  2801 Jan 06  01:17:30   3050   9907   T    0.6127  1.0432  15.5N 173.7E  52  182  04m07s

11442  16  2819 Jan 17  10:08:37   3164  10130   T    0.6180  1.0433  17.4N  39.6E  52  184  04m04s
11487  17  2837 Jan 27  19:01:17   3280  10353   T    0.6223  1.0438  20.0N  95.0W  51  187  04m02s
11533  18  2855 Feb 08  03:51:22   3398  10576   T    0.6288  1.0448  23.2N 131.0E  51  191  04m00s
11580  19  2873 Feb 18  12:39:50   3518  10799   T    0.6369  1.0461  27.1N   2.8W  50  198  03m59s
11627  20  2891 Mar 01  21:22:05   3640  11022   T    0.6501  1.0477  31.7N 135.2W  49  207  03m58s
11674  21  2909 Mar 13  06:00:58   3765  11245   T    0.6663  1.0495  36.8N  93.1E  48  219  03m56s
11719  22  2927 Mar 24  14:32:03   3891  11468   T    0.6886  1.0514  42.6N  36.8W  46  233  03m54s
11763  23  2945 Apr 03  22:56:50   4019  11691   T    0.7164  1.0532  49.0N 165.4W  44  251  03m50s
11807  24  2963 Apr 15  07:12:58   4150  11914   T    0.7513  1.0547  55.9N  68.0E  41  273  03m44s
11851  25  2981 Apr 25  15:22:39   4282  12137   T    0.7917  1.0560  63.3N  57.6W  37  303  03m36s

11895  26  2999 May 06  23:23:57   4417  12360   T    0.8388  1.0566  71.5N 177.3E  33  345  03m25s
-----  27  3017 May 18  07:17:56   4553  12583   T    0.8919  1.0564  80.3N  46.1E  26  417  03m11s
-----  28  3035 May 29  15:04:56   4692  12806   T    0.9507  1.0548  84.8N 167.7W  17  605  02m50s
-----  29  3053 Jun 08  22:46:25   4833  13029   P    1.0142  0.9922  67.1N  36.8E   0             
-----  30  3071 Jun 20  06:21:51   4976  13252   P    1.0823  0.8613  66.1N  87.0W   0             
-----  31  3089 Jun 30  13:53:21   5121  13475   P    1.1533  0.7248  65.2N 150.7E   0             
-----  32  3107 Jul 12  21:21:18   5268  13698   P    1.2269  0.5833  64.3N  29.6E   0             
-----  33  3125 Jul 23  04:47:58   5417  13921   P    1.3012  0.4409  63.5N  90.9W   0             
-----  34  3143 Aug 03  12:11:53   5568  14144   P    1.3771  0.2960  62.8N 149.6E   0             
-----  35  3161 Aug 13  19:37:05   5721  14367   P    1.4513  0.1553  62.2N  29.9E   0             

-----  36  3179 Aug 25  03:02:28   5876  14590   Pe   1.5246  0.0173  61.8N  89.7W   0             


Calendar

The Gregorian calendar is used for all dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates. The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions ). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..


Predictions

The coordinates of the Sun used in these predictions are based on the VSOP87 theory [Bretagnon and Francou, 1988]. The Moon's coordinates are based on the ELP-2000/82 theory [Chapront-Touze and Chapront, 1983]. For more information, see: Solar and Lunar Ephemerides. The revised value used for the Moon's secular acceleration is n-dot = -25.858 arc-sec/cy*cy, as deduced from the Apollo lunar laser ranging experiment (Chapront, Chapront-Touze, and Francou, 2002).

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -1999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.


Footnotes

[1] The Moon's orbit is inclined about 5 degrees to Earth's orbit around the Sun. The points where the lunar orbit intersects the plane of Earth's orbit are known as the nodes. The Moon moves from south to north of Earth's orbit at the ascending node, and from north to south at the descending node.

[2]Central solar eclipses are eclipses in which the central axis of the Moon's shadow strikes the Earth's surface. All partial (penumbral) eclipses are non-central eclipses since the shadow axis misses Earth. However, umbral eclipses (total, annular and hybrid) may be either central (usually) or non-central (rarely).

[3]Hybrid eclipses are also known as annular/total eclipses. Such an eclipse is both total and annular along different sections of its umbral path. For more information, see Five Millennium Catalog of Hybrid Solar Eclipses .

[4]Greatest eclipse is defined as the instant when the axis of the Moon's shadow passes closest to Earth's center. For total eclipses, the instant of greatest eclipse is nearly equal to the instants of greatest magnitude and greatest duration. However, for annular eclipses, the instant of greatest duration may occur at either the time of greatest eclipse or near the sunrise and sunset points of the eclipse path.


Acknowledgments

The information presented on this web page is based on data published in Five Millennium Canon of Solar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Five Millennium Catalog of Solar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000. The individual global maps appearing in links (both GIF an animation) were extracted from full page plates appearing in Five Millennium Canon by Dan McGlaun. The Besselian elements were provided by Jean Meeus. Fred Espenak assumes full responsibility for the accuracy of all eclipse calculations.

Permission is freely granted to reproduce this data when accompanied by an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak (NASA's GSFC)"


Return to:

Saros Series Catalog of Solar Eclipses

Periodicity of Solar Eclipses

Five Millennium Catalog of Solar Eclipses

2009 Sep 26